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<p>The effect of increasing the retirement age on the probability of a major outbreak.</p> Abbie Evans (20873706) William S. Hart (9187021) Eunok Jung (3430424) Kyeongah Nah (6796805) Karla Bonic-Babic (25157876) Sung-mok Jung (14037878) Robin N. Thompson (2591524) Medicine Neuroscience Biotechnology Evolutionary Biology Ecology Cancer Mental Health Infectious Diseases structured mathematical model specific contact patterns since contact patterns pathogen introductions initiate lower contact rates infectious disease dynamics extended workforce participation ageing society ). world &# 8217 substantial outbreak depends associated behavioural responses associated behavioural characteristics population &# 8217 term demographic transitions major outbreak due infectiousness often vary major outbreak &# 160 outbreak risks oldest population behavioural context behavioural adaptation sustained transmission older individuals later retirement incorporating changes findings demonstrate demographic changes case study <p>A. The probability of a major outbreak in 2050 without an increase in the retirement age (orange bars; as in <a href="http://www.ploscompbiol.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1014319#pcbi.1014319.g002" target="_blank">Fig 2F</a>) and when the retirement age is instead increased to 75 (grey bars). B. The population average probability of a major outbreak in 2050 and the contact-weighted probability of a major outbreak in 2050, either without (orange bars) or with (grey bars) an increase in the retirement age from 60 to 75.</p> 2026-10-01T18:02:36Z Image Figure 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1014319.g004 https://figshare.com/articles/figure/_p_The_effect_of_increasing_the_retirement_age_on_the_probability_of_a_major_outbreak_p_/34049045 CC BY 4.0