2026-10-12T06:39:08Z
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<p>Effects of different susceptibility and infectiousness profiles on the probability of a major outbreak.</p>
Abbie Evans (20873706)
William S. Hart (9187021)
Eunok Jung (3430424)
Kyeongah Nah (6796805)
Karla Bonic-Babic (25157876)
Sung-mok Jung (14037878)
Robin N. Thompson (2591524)
Medicine
Neuroscience
Biotechnology
Evolutionary Biology
Ecology
Cancer
Mental Health
Infectious Diseases
structured mathematical model
specific contact patterns
since contact patterns
pathogen introductions initiate
lower contact rates
infectious disease dynamics
extended workforce participation
ageing society ).
world &# 8217
substantial outbreak depends
associated behavioural responses
associated behavioural characteristics
population &# 8217
term demographic transitions
major outbreak due
infectiousness often vary
major outbreak
&# 160
outbreak risks
oldest population
behavioural context
behavioural adaptation
sustained transmission
older individuals
later retirement
incorporating changes
findings demonstrate
demographic changes
case study
<p>A. The probability of a major outbreak in South Korea in 2000 starting from a single infected individual in the specified age group, for the uniform (blue), linearly increasing (orange), linearly decreasing (purple) and U–shaped (green) susceptibility profiles. B. Analogous figure to panel A, but for 2025. C. Analogous figure to panel A, but for 2050. D. Analogous figure to panel A, but instead considering different infectiousness profiles. E. Analogous figure to panel B, but instead considering different infectiousness profiles. F. Analogous figure to panel C, but instead considering different infectiousness profiles.</p> <p>(TIF)</p>
2026-10-01T18:02:36Z
Image
Figure
10.1371/journal.pcbi.1014319.s003
https://figshare.com/articles/figure/_p_Effects_of_different_susceptibility_and_infectiousness_profiles_on_the_probability_of_a_major_outbreak_p_/34049033
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