2026-10-11T03:34:25Z https://api.figshare.com/v2/oai

oai:figshare.com:article/33820669 2026-09-15T19:57:12Z portal_1197 item_type_3 month_year_09_2026

Data for Revealing the extent of the COVID-19 pandemic in Kenya based on serological and PCR-test data John Ojal (512149) Samuel Brand (24749185) Vincent Were (843549) Emelda A. Okiro (8778368) Ivy K. Kombe (4039907) Caroline Mburu (10186431) Rabia Aziza (11160815) Morris Ogero (6423143) Ambrose Agweyu (741145) George M. Warimwe (7477835) Sophe Uyoga (24954328) Ifedayo M. O. Adetifa (13961355) J. Anthony G. Scott (11507303) Edward Otieno (10166476) Lynette Isabella Ochola-Oyier (12098279) Charles N. Agoti (9117177) Kadondi Kasera (6157514) Patrick Amoth (13267631) Mercy Mwangangi (13267634) Rashid Aman (775203) Wangari Ng'ang'a (24954331) Benjamin Tsofa (197029) Philip Bejon (40508) Edwine Barasa (840170) Matt J. Keeling (7553531) D. James Nokes (9117189) COVID-19 (Disease) -- Kenya COVID-19 Pandemic, 2020- -- Kenya Serology -- Kenya Covid-19 (Disease) -- Transmission -- Kenya Migrated from ePrints Policy makers in Africa need robust estimates of the current and future spread of SARS-CoV-2. Data suitable for this purpose are scant. We used national surveillance PCR test, serological survey and mobility data to develop and fit a county-specific transmission model for Kenya. We estimate that the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic peaked before the end of July 2020 in the major urban counties, with 34 - 41% of residents infected, and will peak elsewhere in the country within 2-3 months. Despite this penetration, reported severe cases and deaths are low. Our analysis suggests the COVID-19 disease burden in Kenya may be far less than initially feared. A similar scenario across sub-Saharan Africa would have implications for balancing the consequences of restrictions with those of COVID-19.<br><br>Data record consists of tabular data, a PDF data dictionary, and an accompanying readme file. Further information on specific data can be found in the accompanying readme file. 2026-09-15T19:57:12Z Dataset Dataset 10.82444/warw.33820669.v1 https://figshare.com/articles/dataset/Data_for_Revealing_the_extent_of_the_COVID-19_pandemic_in_Kenya_based_on_serological_and_PCR-test_data/33820669 CC BY 4.0