2026-10-14T09:58:00Z https://api.figshare.com/v2/oai

oai:figshare.com:article/33354105 2026-09-30T11:48:24Z category_29725 portal_921 item_type_11 month_year_09_2026

Quantifying the trade-migration nexus of the enlarged EU Forced Migration Online (24276783) Migration, asylum and refugee law FORCED MIGRATION ONLINE MIGRATION IMMIGRATION INTERNATIONAL TRADE Gravity models, as applied in the growing number of immigrant-link studies, have revealed a robust and positive relationship between immigration and bilateral trade flows. This paper attempts to further the immigrant-link literature by applying, for the first time, this methodology to the European Union. Specifically the paper seeks to evaluate the robustness of the findings from this strand of literature; to quantify the impact upon EU-15 bilateral trade flows, of East-West European immigration, and to identify the underlying mechanisms underpinning this relationship. The results indicate that Eastern European immigrants exert a positive influence on both EU-15 imports and exports. It is predicted that a 10% rise in Eastern European immigration will increase EU-15 imports from these countries by 1.4% and EU-15 exports by 1.2%. These results indicate that immigrants' demand for native products outweighs the increase in trade associated with immigrants forming business-links between European trading partners. 2026-09-30T11:48:24Z Text Online resource 10.25446/oxford.33354105.v1 https://figshare.com/articles/online_resource/Quantifying_the_trade-migration_nexus_of_the_enlarged_EU/33354105 CC BY-NC-ND 4.0